Geraint Lewis's comments on using clinicians' knowledge to predict.outcomes was very interesting ('Tapping into staff knowledge').
As a sixth form student, I supplemented my lack of income by working as a cook.at Kentucky Fried Chicken. I.used.to predict.the amount of.cooked chicken needed so clients were not.kept waiting. I adapted my calculations.according to the weather and social events like Bristol City's football matches - it worked well. Now, many years later, I work as an emergency nurse practitioner in a minor injuries unit..
Data from the unit can assist in predicting patient numbers with respect to health conditions. This year, the data informs us of an increase in the number of patients attending with infected insect bites. Mild weather will reinforce the prediction. Education and training and stocks of antibiotics will also be adapted accordingly. To develop this forecasting element further, a Delphi study is also being planned this year about the future role of such units.in the short, medium and long term. Revisiting the minor injuries unit will in time determine its value.
Mark Pittman is an emergency nurse practitioner at.North Bristol trust.